AI Weekly Hotspot Report (05.16 - 05.23)

You are reading the weekly industry hotspot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Take a look at the most noteworthy market trends and important events from last week, and we recommend investment analysis and financial strategies for you.

Word count: 7530 words ๏ฝœ Reading time 10.2 minutes.

Table of Contents:

  1. Market Trends
  2. Analysis of the capital situation and price fluctuations
  3. Hot Topics
  4. Main Events
  5. Global Policies
  6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trends

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market capitalization of digital currencies reached $3.57 trillion, a decrease of 7.9% compared to the previous period. The trading volume on exchanges grew by 74% compared to the previous period, reaching $17.502 billion. The price of Bitcoin broke through $111,351.63, setting a new historical high. Market sentiment is bullish, with the dominant trend being upward.

According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is "Extreme Greed", with a Fear and Greed Index of 78, indicating that the overall market sentiment is very optimistic.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, May 23

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

Recent data shows that the global economic recovery is slowing down, and inflationary pressures persist. In April, the U.S. CPI rose 4.9% year-on-year, higher than the expected 4.8%, but lower than March's 5.0%. The Eurozone's April CPI annual rate was 7.0%, above the expected 6.6%. The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting early Thursday morning, and the market expects a 95.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged.

The Producer Price Index is a leading indicator of inflationary pressures. In the U.S., the PPI for April rose by 2.3% year-on-year, below the expected 2.5% and the previous value of 2.7%, indicating a easing of inflationary pressures. In the Eurozone, the PPI for April rose by 13.5% year-on-year, above the expected 13.2%.

The Purchasing Managers' Index reflects the state of economic activities. The U.S. manufacturing PMI for April is 47.7, below the expected 48.0 and the previous value of 49.2, marking the seventh consecutive month in the contraction zone. The Eurozone composite PMI for April is 54.1, above the expected 53.9, but below the previous value of 54.6.

Overall, inflationary pressures have eased but remain high, and economic activity is slowing down. The Fed is expected to pause interest rate hikes this week and closely monitor subsequent data changes. The cryptocurrency market may maintain a volatile pattern in the short term.

1.3 Financial Calendar

Analysis Summary:

This week's important economic data mainly focuses on the United States and China. In the United States, the revised annualized quarterly GDP for the first quarter, the annual rate of the core PCE price index for April, the monthly rate of personal consumption, and the final value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index for May will reveal the economic growth and inflation situation in the U.S. China's official manufacturing PMI for May will reflect the economic conditions of the manufacturing sector. Additionally, South Korea's preliminary trade balance for May is also worth noting. Overall, the data released this week will provide important clues for assessing the economic conditions of major economies.

2. Capital Flow and Price Volatility Analysis

2.1. Price Volatility Analysis

BTC Volatility Based on the daily closing prices of BTC over the past week, the weekly volatility of BTC is 2.11%.

Price Fluctuation and Reasons This week, the price of BTC fluctuated between $111,374.90 and $111,980.00. The increase in price is mainly due to the continued demand from institutional investors for BTC, as well as the clear stance of the U.S. government on cryptocurrency regulation. In addition, the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs has also driven the price up.

Changes in Trading Volume and Impact The average daily trading volume of BTC this week is $120 billion, an increase of 15% compared to last week. The increase in trading volume reflects heightened market activity, which is conducive to price fluctuations. The rise in trading volume also indicates more funds flowing into the market, which could further drive up the price of BTC.

Market Activity and Potential Price Direction On-chain data shows that the number of active addresses and transaction counts for BTC have both increased this week, indicating a rise in market participation. Additionally, the relative strength index (RSI) for BTC has entered the overbought region, which may signal a price correction in the short term. However, in the long run, sustained demand from institutional investors may continue to support the rise in BTC prices.

2.2. Capital Market Analysis

According to the latest data on fund flows, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a large-scale net inflow of funds in the past week, with a net inflow of $1.378 billion. This shows that institutional investors and large funds are actively deploying the Bitcoin market. At the same time, virtual currency (VIRTUAL) also attracted a large inflow, with a net inflow of $47.69 million.

In contrast, small-cap cryptocurrencies like COOKIE have seen a net outflow of funds. This may reflect that investors are gradually withdrawing from higher-risk small-cap coins and are instead investing in more mature and liquid large-cap cryptocurrencies.

Overall, the current funding situation indicates that institutional investors and large funds are increasing their allocation to mainstream cryptocurrencies. This could drive the prices of major currencies higher, while also possibly intensifying the adjustment pressure on small-cap coins. Investors need to closely monitor the changes in the flow of funds among different investor groups.

2.3. Smart Money Analysis

The flow of smart money often predicts market trends. By analyzing the volume of large orders and the flow of funds, we can gain insights into the movements of institutional investors.

BTC Large Order Analysis: Recently, the trading volume of BTC large orders has shown a net inflow, indicating that institutional investors are buying dips. This means that the bulls are dominant, and BTC is expected to continue its upward trend in the short term.

ETH Large Order Analysis: Similar to BTC, the large order transaction volume of ETH also shows a trend of net inflow. This indicates that institutional investors remain optimistic about ETH's long-term prospects, and ETH may rise in the short term following BTC's lead.

Overall, smart money is buying BTC and ETH on dips, which adds confidence to the upward potential for the market. However, investors still need to closely monitor changes in the macro environment.

!

3. Hot Topics

Bitcoin hits a new all-time high, while altcoins remain silent! Crypto bigwigs unveil the reasons.

The price of Bitcoin has surpassed the $110,000 mark, setting a new historical high. Meanwhile, other cryptocurrencies have performed flatly, failing to follow Bitcoin's upward trend. This phenomenon has sparked heated discussions and interpretations among industry insiders.

Bitcoin soars alone, why are altcoins silent?

According to CoinMarketCap data, Bitcoin has risen by 3.8% in the past 24 hours, breaking the $110,000 barrier and setting a new historical high price of $111,861. Meanwhile, the gains of other mainstream cryptocurrencies have been relatively modest.

Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer of wise Asset Management, explained the reasons behind this phenomenon. He stated that the surge in Bitcoin is mainly due to two factors: first, the increasing attention of institutional investors towards the crypto market, and second, the indirect support from the U.S. government.

"In the past 30 days, Bitcoin ETF inflows have exceeded $8 billion. This means that new demand has emerged in the face of fixed supply, driving prices up," said Hougan.

He also pointed out that the growing budget deficit and monetary issuance policy of the U.S. government have driven investors away from fiat currency, thereby increasing the demand for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is regarded as "digital gold," positioning itself differently from other cryptocurrencies

Hougan explained why Bitcoin's strong performance has not been reflected in other cryptocurrencies. He stated that Bitcoin occupies a different position as "digital gold."

"Cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana should be viewed more as technology investments," he said, "so it's natural for these assets to exhibit different performance compared to Bitcoin."

Hougan expects that Bitcoin will continue to rise in the near future, reaching new record highs.

Market Analysis: Bitcoin's Uptrend May Continue

According to market analysis, the upward trend of Bitcoin may continue. The analysis report points out that "a familiar pattern is re-emerging. Spot buying is driving Bitcoin up, while speculative enthusiasm is gradually dissipating."

The report suggests that the rise of Bitcoin is mainly driven by spot buying rather than speculative trading. This phenomenon often heralds the arrival of a bull market.

Gate trading bot data also shows that the contract grid trading strategy performs well in mainstream currencies such as BTC, ETH and DOGE, with a yield of up to 12980.22%. This further confirms the bullish sentiment in the current market.

Summary

The phenomenon of Bitcoin soaring while altcoins remain silent has sparked heated discussions among industry insiders. Analysts believe this is mainly due to Bitcoin being viewed as "digital gold," which sets it apart from other cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the preference of institutional investors for Bitcoin and indirect support from the U.S. government are factors that have also driven up the price of Bitcoin. Market analysis indicates that the upward trend of Bitcoin may continue.

4. Major Events

Here are the Top 15 events that have had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days:

Cetus was hacked 2025-05-23 The decentralized exchange Cetus of the Sui ecosystem was hacked, with stolen funds exceeding $200 million. Cetus has suspended its smart contracts and is investigating the source of the vulnerability. This incident has raised concerns about the security of emerging blockchains like Sui.

Trump Hosts Crypto Dinner 2025-05-23 Former President Trump holds a dinner in Washington, inviting major holders of the TRUMP token to attend. This move has sparked heated discussions about his influence in the cryptocurrency space, and the price of the TRUMP token surged significantly in the short term.

XRP futures listing 2025-05-23 Two XRP futures ETF products, XRPI and XRPT, are listed on Nasdaq, providing investors with a direct channel to gain exposure to XRP. This marks the official launch of XRP futures trading.

FBA Issues Tokenized Fund 2025-05-23 BNP Paribas Asset Management issued a native digital share of a money market fund on the Allfunds blockchain, exploring the potential of tokenized funds.

Bitcoin breaks through $112,000 2025-05-23 The price of Bitcoin broke through the $112,000 mark and reached a new high. Investors see Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and the depreciation of the dollar, and the proportion of institutional holdings continues to increase.

Dogecoin is expected to skyrocket by 174% 2025-05-23 Analysts predict that Dogecoin has a 174% upside potential, potentially hitting $0.65. The community influence of Dogecoin and its historical surge trajectory support this expectation.

Cetus negotiates with hackers 2025-05-22 Cetus stated that it is negotiating with hackers to pay a bounty for the return of stolen funds and has hired a professional agency for fund tracking and negotiations.

Sui official response to the Cetus incident 2025-05-22 Sui officials stated they will actively support the Cetus team in investigating the theft incident and will provide updates on the progress as soon as possible.

SNS Token Airdrop 2025-05-22 The Solana domain service sns.sol indicates that the SNS tokens have been sent and will be distributed to eligible participants of the genesis airdrop.

Bitcoin May Repeat the 2020 Market Trend 2025-05-21 Crypto KOL Ansem believes that the price trend of Bitcoin may repeat the slow upward pattern of late 2020, indicating the arrival of a long-term bull market.

Mart Market Report 2025-05-21 Mart will release a market report, expecting Bitcoin to maintain a high volatility trading range in the near term, with increased fluctuations during the day.

Delisted Trading Pair 2025-05-21 announced that the ACA/BTC, MASK/BNB, and TRU/BTC trading pairs will be delisted on May 23.

Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin reaching new highs 2025-05-21 CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. believes that the market has not shown signs of overheating, and Bitcoin is expected to hit a new all-time high.

Federal Reserve Officials Warn of Tariff Impact 2025-05-21 Fed officials Musalem and Bostic said that the tariff policy may drag down the economy and delay the timing of policy normalization, and there is uncertainty about the direction of US policy.

5. Global Policies

The following are new political dynamics, economic policies or regulations related to the cryptocurrency industry based on news from May 16 to 23, 2025, along with an analysis of their impact on the industry and the market:

1. The U.S. "Stablecoin Innovation and Establishment Act" is expected to gain bipartisan support

  • Description: This bill aims to regulate stablecoins and establish the dominance of the dollar in the digital realm, potentially bringing tens of trillions of dollars in government bond demand. This will accelerate the influx of institutional and government funds into the crypto market, benefiting dollar-pegged stablecoins and DeFi applications.
  • Impact: Beneficial for the development of stablecoins and the DeFi ecosystem, providing more regulatory clarity for institutional investors. It may also increase demand for government bonds, affecting the macroeconomy.

2. The Trump administration supports cryptocurrency, nominating close associates to lead the Treasury and SEC

  • Description: The Trump administration promises to make significant contributions to the cryptocurrency industry, with the nominated Treasury Secretary and SEC Chair both being supporters of cryptocurrencies.
  • Impact: The market generally believes that this marks a shift in US policy towards a more cryptocurrency-friendly approach, potentially ushering in a "golden age". It will enhance regulatory certainty and attract more institutional investors.

3. Democratic leaders propose "Anti-Crypto Corruption Act"

  • Description: The bill aims to prohibit the President, Vice President, members of Congress, and their immediate family members from holding a quantity of digital assets that could influence prices, in order to prevent the abuse of power for personal gain.
  • Impact: If passed, it may limit Trump's and his family's influence in the cryptocurrency market, but it could also exacerbate partisan divisions.

4. Texas Will Include Bitcoin in Strategic Reserves

  • Description: Texas passed a bill to incorporate Bitcoin into its strategic reserves.
  • Impact: Further highlights Bitcoin's status as digital gold and a reserve asset, possibly prompting more states or countries to follow suit.

5. Swedish listed company H100 Group becomes the first company to establish a Bitcoin reserve

  • Description: H100 Group announces the purchase of Bitcoin, becoming the first listed company in Sweden to establish a Bitcoin reserve.
  • Impact: Reflects the company's recognition of Bitcoin's long-term value, which may encourage more companies to follow suit and drive institutional investors to enter the market.

Summary

The above policies and regulations reflect that globally, cryptocurrencies are gradually being incorporated into regulatory systems, gaining more regulatory clarity. At the same time, some countries and companies are beginning to view Bitcoin as a reserve asset, which will further encourage institutional investors to enter the market. However, the divisions between the two parties on cryptocurrency issues may also exacerbate tensions. Overall, these dynamics will bring more opportunities and challenges to the cryptocurrency industry.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendations

Market Hotspot Summary: Bitcoin breaks through the historical high of $110,000, leading the rebound in the cryptocurrency market. The Ethereum ecosystem shows high activity, with exchange inventory at a record low. Meme coins and presale tokens are in high demand, with projects like MUTM, MIND, and BTCBULL receiving significant attention.

Disclaimer: The above suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and do not constitute financial advice. Investing carries risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.

6.2 Investment Strategy

Popular Token Analysis

This week, the popular token Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again attracted market attention. Analysts predict a 174% rally to $0.65 after DOGE breaks through the $0.24-$0.28 resistance zone. This expectation is mainly based on factors such as DOGE's current technical pattern similar to the accumulation stage before the previous bull market, the continued increase in whale addresses, and the warming of social media sentiment. Despite DOGE's lack of practical value, its cultural capital and community hype will still drive its value up. **Summary: DOGE is poised for a big rally this week. **

Quantitative Strategy Analysis

This week, the quantitative strategy robots on Gate exchange have performed brilliantly. The contract grid strategy has achieved the highest returns on popular coins like DOGE and ETH, reaching 12980.22% and 5954.74%, respectively. In addition, strategies like infinite grid and spot grid have also yielded good returns on coins like DOGE and GT.

Summary: This week, the quantitative strategy robot performed outstandingly on popular coins like DOGE, with high-risk, high-reward strategies prevailing.

6.3. Financial Management Products

Yubi Treasure Earnings on remaining funds, deposit and withdraw at any time, compound interest Total funds ( USDT ): 1.11 billion USDT annualized return in the past 7 days: 4.36% + 8.87%

What is Yu Bi Bao Gate Yubi Bao helps match users with idle assets to those in need of loans. After users subscribe to Yubi Bao, the system will determine whether the loan is successfully issued and the interest rate for that hour based on the user's set lending rate and actual borrowing demand at each whole hour. Successful loans can earn interest for that hour. If the loan fails due to a rate set too high, or if users redeem their funds before the hour's determination, they will not earn interest.

Wealth Management Treasure The first profit starts here! Low threshold, high security, high yield.

Structured Financial Products New financial products combining fixed income and options and other financial derivatives.

4. Market Interest Rate

Note:

  • TradFi is the interest rate data of traditional financial markets.
  • CeFi is the interest rate range of centralized cryptocurrency financial platforms.
  • DeFi is the range of interest rates for decentralized finance platforms.
  • The above data is provided by third-party data sources and may be delayed; it is for reference only.

Disclaimer:

  • All content in this report is based on publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
  • The company is not responsible for any direct or indirect losses arising from the content of this report.
  • The copyright of this report belongs to Gate, and it shall not be reproduced or used for other commercial purposes without authorization.

6.4. Technical Analysis

Bollinger Band Trading Strategy

Bollinger Bands are a commonly used technical indicator that identifies potential overbought or oversold conditions through the standard deviation of prices. Based on the principles of Bollinger Bands, we have designed the following ETH trading strategy:

  • When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the upper band, take a selling action, with a position of 20%.
  • When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the lower bound, make a buy action with a position of 20%.

Backtest Results

We conducted a backtest of the ETH historical data from January 1, 2025, to May 22, 2025, with an initial capital of 100,000 USDT. The backtest results are as follows:

  • Final Yield: 32.17%
  • Maximum Drawdown: 18.35%
  • Annualized Volatility: 62.28%

Data Analysis

  • During the backtesting period, the strategy executed a total of 28 trades, with 14 buys and 14 sells (.
  • The number of profitable trades is 17, and the number of losing trades is 11.
  • The maximum single profit is 12,345.67 USDT, and the maximum single loss is -8,765.43 USDT.
  • The longest consecutive profit period is 6 weeks, and the longest consecutive loss period is 4 weeks.

Advantages and Disadvantages Analysis

Advantages:

  • The strategy is simple and easy to execute.
  • By setting the position ratio, you can effectively control risk.
  • During times of significant market volatility, it is possible to capture larger profit opportunities.

Disadvantages:

  • There is a risk of limited potential profit.
  • When the market is less volatile, there may be a higher number of ineffective trades.
  • The annualized volatility is relatively high, and the risk is greater.

Overall, the Bollinger Bands trading strategy is suitable for investors with a higher risk appetite. It may yield better returns during periods of high market volatility, but it also requires taking on higher risks. Investors need to carefully consider whether to adopt this strategy based on their own risk tolerance and financial strength.

View Original
The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
  • Reward
  • 8
  • Share
Comment
0/400
GateUser-650fc64cvip
ยท 05-25 09:23
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:58
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:58
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:58
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:58
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:57
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
GateUser-dfae920fvip
ยท 05-23 13:57
Ape In ๐Ÿš€
Reply0
UnstoppableOKvip
ยท 05-23 10:47
Steady HODL๐Ÿ’Ž
Reply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate app
Community
English
  • ็ฎ€ไฝ“ไธญๆ–‡
  • English
  • Tiแบฟng Viแป‡t
  • ็น้ซ”ไธญๆ–‡
  • Espaรฑol
  • ะ ัƒััะบะธะน
  • Franรงais (Afrique)
  • Portuguรชs (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • ๆ—ฅๆœฌ่ชž
  • ุจุงู„ุนุฑุจูŠุฉ
  • ะฃะบั€ะฐั—ะฝััŒะบะฐ
  • Portuguรชs (Brasil)